While I don’t mention it that much on this tumblog anyone who knows me knows that I’m obsessed with the NHL’s Colorado Avalanche. The NHL’s season is about to start up with a few teams playing in Prague and Stockholm as publicity stunts. The rest of the league starts up mid next week.
Unlike last season, the Avalanche are considered be one of the poorer teams in the league. Last season the Avalanche were the darlings of many pundits. This season the Avalanche lost goaltender Jose Theodore and Andrew Brunette. Combine that with the strongest Western Conference in recent history and the Avalanche have a lot stacked against them.
Jose Theodore is an interesting story in the league. The last goaltender to win the Heart trophy (league’s MVP) fell from grace which resulted in a trade from the Montreal Canadians in the first year after the lockout. In the trade the Avalanche did not have to give up any significant players but they did have to eat Theodore’s pre-lockout salary. When he joined the Avalanche Theodore still had several years left on an extremely expensive contract. For the first two years Theodore played with the Avalanche he proved to be the shaky goaltender that left Montreal. Halfway though last season Theodore seemed to find his play again. He was playing like the goaltender the Avalanche had hoped they’d get.
Andrew Brunette, once the person to hand Patrick Roy a loss in the final game of his career, became a silent mainstay of the team. Last season he was quietly the second leading scorer on the team.
The Western Conference features a dominant Red Wings team which only got stronger, a young Blackhawks, and a focused Sharks team. The strong Western Conference that only got stronger will pose a significant hurdle to the Avalanche’s progress. The one upside is that the new schedule has more games against the Eastern Conference. Another upside is that the Northwest Division is the weakest it’s been in years. For a long time the Northwest Division was the hardest in the conference, if not the league.
Most of the Avalanche’s detractors believe their weakness is in goaltending. Peter Budaj has been the starter or backup for two seasons now. He has proven himself to be a good goaltender, not a great goaltender, but a good goaltender. Budaj is consistent and is unlikely to cost a team the game. On the other hand, Budaj is unlikely to steal a game either. The Red Wings last season proved that with a strong team in front of them a goaltender doesn’t need to be great. Which brings me to my next point…
Defense. The Avalanche’s defense is one of the most underrated corps in the league. They feature a top six with players that can be considered top in the league in scoring, toughness, and quarterbacking the power play. The Avalanche have never been known as a defensive team, but for the first time in their existence, and probably the franchise’s, their defense is stronger then their offense.
Special teams is going to be one of the determining factors of this team’s success. Last season the Avalanche fought with the Blues to have the worst power play in the league. For the first time ever, the Avalanche did not finish in the top 5 in the league on the power play. All Avalanche fans pray that we can regain our former prowess.
If the Avalanche can stay healthy, a major problem for them last year, and become decent on the power play then they can be a surprising team in the league. With a weaker division it’s possible to either win the division or get a seed between 5 and 6. I doubt the Avs can make the top two seeds, or even the fourth seed, but I would be surprised if the Avs fail to make the playoffs.